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Flat Market, Big Signals: A Holiday Worth Watching

Flat Market, Big Signals: A Holiday Worth Watching

Happy Maharashtra Day and Labour Day! Markets may be shut today, but yesterday’s session on Akshaya Tritiya was a quiet one. The flat market saw the Sensex dip 46 points (-0.06%) to 80,242, while the Nifty 50 closed almost unchanged at 24,334, down just 1.75 points (-0.01%).

The day looked dull on the surface, but under the hood, things moved. HDFC Life climbed 4.01%, topping the gainers list, while Bajaj Finserv plunged 5.58%, dragging the financial space. Pharma emerged as the best-performing sector (+0.44%), while PSU Banks got hit hardest, falling 2.23%.

Broad Market Indices
Broad Market Indices

In this special edition, we decode how India’s calm compares to global market noise, break down headline-driven stock shifts, and bring you a long-term stock idea to watch after the break.

Global Market vs Nifty – Who’s Beating Whom?

While the Nifty 50 closed almost flat (-0.01%), global markets showed far more energy — each telling a different story. Here’s how they stack up:

🇺🇸 S&P 500 (US):

The US market bounced nicely this week and is now up 3.44% in just 5 days, despite being negative for the month.
📉 YTD: -5.45%
📈 1-Year: +10.81%
Stronger than Nifty in short term, but India still leads over 3 years.

🇩🇪 DAX (Germany):

One of the strongest performers globally. Up 13.29% in 2024, and a massive +25.78% in 1 year.
Outperforming Nifty across all timeframes.
Germany is riding strong industrial momentum.

🇪🇺 Euro Stoxx 50:

A mixed bag. Slight upmove yesterday, but down this month.
📉 1-Month: -1.46%
📈 3-Year: +36%
⚖️ In line with Nifty long term, but underperforming this month.

🇯🇵 Nikkei 225 (Japan):

Looks strong this week but is still down 9.65% YTD.
📉 1-Year: -5.83%
Clearly lagging behind Nifty in all timeframes.

🇭🇰 Hang Seng (Hong Kong):

Mild bounce yesterday, but still in pain.
📉 1-Month: -4.33%
📈 1-Year: +24.5%
⚠️ Volatile, but showing signs of recovery. Still behind Nifty YTD.

🇮🇳 Nifty 50 (India):

📈 1-Month: +3.46%
📈 YTD: +2.92%
📈 3-Year: +42.28%
✅ May look slow this week, but India still beats most markets long term.

Let’s cut the noise — here’s how global markets stack up against the Nifty across different timeframes:

Index1-Day1-Week1-MonthYTD1-Year3-YearVerdict
Nifty 50-0.01%+0.02%+3.46%+2.92%+7.65%+42.28%🔄 Flat now, but strong long-term
S&P 500 🇺🇸+0.58%+3.44%-0.91%-5.45%+10.81%+34.58%🔼 Strong rebound, still behind Nifty 3Y
DAX 🇩🇪+0.47%+2.70%+1.76%+13.29%+25.78%+59.98%🔥 Leading globally
Euro Stoxx 50🇪🇺+0.19%+1.44%-1.46%+5.64%+5.09%+36.00%⚖️ Mixed, weaker this month
Nikkei 225 🇯🇵+0.57%+3.37%+1.20%-9.65%-5.83%+34.25%❌ Lagging, despite short-term rise
Hang Seng 🇭🇰+0.51%+0.21%-4.33%+10.27%+24.52%+4.88%⚠️ Bouncing, still weak overall

What It Means:

Don’t be fooled by India’s flat market this week — Nifty continues to outperform over 3 years. Global markets are rebounding, but India remains a steady compounder, not a chaser. The calm could be hiding strength.

Stock in News & Impacted Players

No Fishy Business: Climate Risk Hits Bay of Bengal

A major study published in Nature Geoscience found that food availability for marine life in the Bay of Bengal dropped by nearly 50% during extreme monsoon events — both too strong and too weak. With climate change making monsoons more erratic, this threatens India’s fisheries, which account for 8% of the world’s fish catch.

Extreme Indian summer monsoon on Bay of Bengal

Impacted Stocks:

Jharkhand Hikes Power Tariffs — But Keeps Relief for 40 Lakh Users

Starting May 1, Jharkhand electricity tariffs are up 6.34% for most urban and rural users. However, 40 lakh households consuming under 200 units monthly remain fully subsidized.

Impacted Stocks:

Balmer Lawrie Investments Sparks Buzz with Buyback, Split, Bonus Plans

The board of Balmer Lawrie Investments will meet on May 21 to consider a share buyback, stock split, bonus issue, and dividend. The stock had already seen a rally post this news.

BALMLAWRIE Price Chart

Impacted Stock:

“Everyone’s Betting on India” — Says Piper Serica CIO

According to Piper Serica’s Abhay Agarwal, global asset allocators are placing long-term bets on India. Why? A mix of domestic SIP-driven flows, increasing passive FII flows, and India’s relatively smaller market cap compared to the US and China.

Impacted Theme:

Bajaj Finance Goes Full Fireworks Mode: 1 Share Becomes 10!

In a bold move, Bajaj Finance announced a 1:1 stock split followed by a 4:1 bonus issue. Combined? You get 10 shares for every 1 share you currently hold. Plus, they announced a total dividend of ₹56 per share.

Impacted Stock:

Bajaj Finance: What Happens After Split & Bonus?

Current price: ₹8,634 (before any changes)

  1. Stock Split (1:1)
    Your 1 share becomes 2 shares at ₹4,317 each.
  2. Bonus Issue (4:1)
    For every 1 share (post-split), you get 4 extra. So 2 shares become 10.

Final Result:
1 share at ₹8,634 becomes 10 shares at ₹863.40 each.
Value stays the same — just more shares, lower price.

Long-Term Stock Pick: Polycab India Ltd

In a market flooded with noisy midcaps, Polycab India stands out quietly — powering India’s infrastructure story with wires, cables, and solid numbers.

🔎 Why Polycab?

Polycab is India’s leading manufacturer of wires and cables, with a growing presence in FMEG (fans, lighting, switches) and industrial electricals. From high-rises to highways, wherever there’s power, chances are Polycab is behind the scenes.

Financials

But what makes it a long-term bet?

📈 Financial Strength

⚡ Growth Drivers

⚠️ Risks to Watch

🎯 Bottom Line

Polycab is not a get-rich-quick stock — it’s a compounder.
If you’re looking to ride India’s electrification and manufacturing boom over the next 5–10 years, this midcap fits the bill.

Ideal Entry Range: ₹4,800–₹4,900 (on dips)
Target (3–5 Years): ₹8,000+
Risk-Reward: Strong fundamentals justify the wait.

What To Do Now: Your Post-Holiday Action Plan

Markets were closed today for Maharashtra Day and Labour Day, but that doesn’t mean you take a break from thinking smart.

Here’s how to position yourself ahead of tomorrow’s session:.

Bottom line:
Today was calm — tomorrow might not be. The flat market may just be the silence before the next sector rotation. Get ready.

Wrapping Up: Calm Today, Signals Tomorrow

Markets may have taken a break, but investors shouldn’t.

The flat market on April 30 looked quiet — but stock-specific moves, sector shifts, and upcoming IPO buzz all hint at action building beneath the surface. Whether it’s Balmer Lawrie’s shareholder-friendly streak, Polycab’s long-term story, or the pressure on PSU Banks, smart money will be watching closely as trade resumes.

Use today’s holiday wisely — realign, reassess, and reset.

And if you need a platform that lets you research, invest, and execute — all in one tap — Angel One has you covered.
Stay ready, stay sharp.

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